After Dubbaka result, GHMC election has turned interesting. No doubt, BJP’s victory in Dubbaka changed the political equations. The recent floods in Hyderabad and anti-incumbency against the ruling party are the points working against the TRS in the Greater Hyderabad election. However, political analysts say there are several other points which are favourable to the TRS. Let’s see what is working for TRS and what makes it easy for the Pink Party to grab the Mayor post.
While the popular vote decides the Corporators for the 150 wards in the GHMC, Ex-officio members play a crucial role in deciding the Mayor.There will be 52 ex-officio voters (MLAs, MLCs and MPs) who play a major role in deciding the next Mayor. Looking at the ex-officio members, TRS has a great advantage as it has 35 ex-officio members.This makes it easy for TRS to get its candidate elected as the next mayor of Hyderabad. The magic figure is 76 out of 150 divisions. If TRS wins just 41 divisions, TRS can still win the Mayor post. Meanwhile, MIM has another 10 ex-officio votes. If they also support the TRS candidate, the party’s candidate would win the Mayor post easily. Since TRS and MIM are allies, MIM is likely to extend its helping hand to TRS in case of any adversity. Then TRS needs to win just 31 divisions out of the 150. This is expected to be a cakewalk for the ruling party, given the present scenario.
Whereas TRS wants to win the Mayor post without requiring the votes of Ex-Officio members. But in case of an extraordinary situation and in case of a surprise gain for BJP or Congress due to any anti-government vote, still TRS has the majority chances of winning the Mayor post owing to its Ex-Officio members.
In 2016, TRS won 99 corporators out of 150 divisions, MIM won 44, BJP won 4. Congress had won 2 and TDP won 1. After the election, 3 members from other parties had joined TRS and thus took the TRS corporators tally to 102. On the other hand, BJP is eyeing to increase its numbers substantially and prove its strength in Greater Hyderabad. While Bandi Sanjay has challenged to hoist BJP’s flag in Hyderabad, the reality looks far different. On the whole, TRS has a clear edge over others. Let the voter decide on Dec 1st and the result will be out on Dec 4th.
This post was last modified on 19 November 2020 11:07 am
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